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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

On-chain snapshot for "Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Cincinnati Reds 75% Pittsburgh Pirates 26% Volume: $487K Liquidity: $11K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates75% Cincinnati Reds26% Pittsburgh Pirates
NRFI100% YES0% NO
Spread -1.59% Pittsburgh Pirates92% Cincinnati Reds
O/U 8.587% Over14% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550% Pittsburgh Pirates50% Cincinnati Reds
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550% Cincinnati Reds50% Pittsburgh Pirates

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of cincinnati reds vs. pittsburgh pirates. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 26 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Re…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Cincinnati Reds at 75% for "Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

Cincinnati Reds 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $487K.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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