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Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

53% YES 47% NO Volume: $262K Liquidity: $842K Closes: 2 Jun 2026
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Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets53% YES48% NO
NRFI45% YES56% NO
Spread -1.540% YES61% NO
O/U 7.549% YES52% NO
Spread -2.528% YES72% NO
Spread -3.521% YES80% NO

Market context

The Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 53% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets, scheduled for May 26 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 53% probability for "Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets".

YES 53% NO 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $262K.

Methodology

This page reads Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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