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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

On-chain snapshot for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

44% YES 56% NO Volume: $147K Liquidity: $954K Closes: 2 Jun 2026
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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 44% 56% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 44% 56% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates44% YES56% NO
NRFI30% YES70% NO
Spread -1.539% YES62% NO
O/U 7.553% YES47% NO
Spread -1.530% YES70% NO
Spread -2.523% YES78% NO

Market context

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — current market-implied probability: 44%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 26 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 44% probability for "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

YES 44% NO 56%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $147K.

Methodology

This page reads Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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