🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen live market →

LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

How the on-chain market is pricing "LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 86% Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5) 70% Game 3 Winner 69% Game 1 Winner 67% Volume: $48K Liquidity: $58K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
Open live market →
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)70%
Game 3 Winner69%
Game 1 Winner67%
Game 2 Winner67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
O/U 3.5 Games59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Any Player Penta Kill57%
Game 4 Winner55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Game Handicap: Z5 (-2.5) vs 3v Team (+2.5)37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
O/U 4.5 Games24%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 86% probability to lol: zeu5 esports vs 3v team (bo5) - lrn playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Zeu5 Esports and 3v Team in the LRN Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Zeu5 Es…

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
and

Trade LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs on BTC Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →