LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid defeated RMD Gaming in their Circuito Desafiante Regular Season League of Legends match, ending with a 1–0 scoreline after 40 minutes of play. The contest, originally scheduled for 20 July at 7:00 PM ET, concluded with RMD Gaming losing despite the market’s current 100% YES crowd-implied probability favouring Team Solid, suggesting the outcome aligns with pre-match expectations rather than a late reversal [2].

Historically, Brazilian LoL lower-tier matches like this one rarely produce ties or cancellations, with over 95% of scheduled BO1s in the Circuito Desafiante completing within the settlement window. Past seasons show that when one team holds a dominant win rate—Team Solid’s 80% in Split 1 2026—the market probability converges near 100% before the match, mirroring today’s pricing [1][3].

Traders should monitor official Riot Brazil announcements for any schedule shifts or disqualifications, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. While esports events rarely tie to BTC/ETH macro flows, sudden whale movements in USDC on-chain settlements could signal institutional interest in similar prediction contracts. For real-time updates, check the Riot Games Brazil tournament hub or follow Bo3.gg’s match logs for post-game verification [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?

Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.

Can I use Bitcoin directly?

No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.

How volatile are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.

Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?

Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.