Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 95% Solary | 5% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% Solary | 50% UCAM Esports Club |
Market context
Solary and UCAM Esports Club will contest the first semifinal of the EMEA Masters League of Legends playoffs on 14 June 2026, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The best-of-five format requires one team to secure three map victories. Both organisations field rosters drawn from regional talent pools across Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, competing for qualification points and prize purse allocation within the broader League Championship Series ecosystem.
The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty of match occurrence rather than outcome confidence. EMEA Masters semifinals have historically proceeded as scheduled with minimal cancellation risk; Riot Games maintains strict fixture calendars for regional competitions, and both teams have demonstrated consistent participation records. Comparable esports semifinals across major regions show completion rates exceeding 98% when scheduled, with delays beyond the seven-day resolution window remaining exceptionally rare. The only material settlement risk stems from catastrophic technical failure or force majeure events affecting venue operations.
Traders should monitor Riot's official EMEA Masters schedule and team roster announcements through mid-June, particularly any injury disclosures or substitute player confirmations that could shift competitive balance. Recent League competitive patches and item adjustments released in the weeks preceding playoffs often reshape champion viability and team preparation priorities. Match broadcast timing—scheduled for 11:00 AM ET—creates a fixed settlement window; any postponement announcement would require immediate market reassessment. USDC settlement occurs upon match completion and official result confirmation via Riot's published standings.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Master… on BTC Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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