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CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score

"CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Any Other Score 50% CF América 2 - 1 Portland Timbers 34% CF América 2 - 2 Portland Timbers 26% CF América 1 - 1 Portland Timbers 24% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $98K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score50%
CF América 2 - 1 Portland Timbers34%
CF América 2 - 2 Portland Timbers26%
CF América 1 - 1 Portland Timbers24%
CF América 3 - 3 Portland Timbers24%
CF América 1 - 2 Portland Timbers17%
CF América 2 - 3 Portland Timbers13%
CF América 3 - 1 Portland Timbers11%
CF América 3 - 2 Portland Timbers9%
CF América 1 - 3 Portland Timbers5%
CF América 0 - 1 Portland Timbers1%
CF América 0 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 1 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 0 - 2 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 2 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 0 - 3 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 3 - 0 Portland Timbers0%

Market context

Club América and Portland Timbers are set to settle a Leagues Cup match that counts only the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so any extra-time or shoot-out outcome is irrelevant to this market. A 0% crowd-implied YES price is consistent with an ultra-narrow exact-score contract: even in fixtures that look one-sided on paper, the listed scoreline has to land precisely for YES to pay out.

Recent comparable meetings point to a relatively open game rather than a single repeated score. The sides have met three times in the available head-to-head record, with América holding one win and two draws, and the combined scoring across those matches was 5-3.[1][6][14] The most recent meeting in Leagues Cup finished 1-1 before América advanced on penalties, while the 2021 CONCACAF Champions Cup ties produced 3-1 and 1-1 results.[6][13] That history matters for exact-score pricing because it supports broad score dispersion, not a tight cluster around one number.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple event mechanics rather than macro, since this is a USDC-settled sports market with no direct on-chain driver unless liquidity shifts in the wider crypto book. The practical watchpoints are whether the match starts on schedule, whether the listed line-up and competition status change, and whether there is any postponement that keeps the market open until completion; the market description explicitly says unresolved matches remain open until played. América’s recent form and Portland’s own results can still shape exact-score expectations, but the contract only resolves on the final regulated-time score, so late substitutions, added time, and endgame game-state are the decisive variables.[12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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