Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score

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Market context

Jordan and Algeria meet in a World Cup group match that is being priced as a low-scoring, outcome-specific event rather than a broad result call. The current 7% crowd-implied probability for the exact-score market sits against a standard football backdrop where exact correct-score outcomes are structurally hard to land, especially once stoppage time and the exclusion of extra time are built into settlement. Published match markets at the time of play showed Algeria favoured in the moneyline and a 2.5-goal total centred around a near coin-flip on the over/under, which is consistent with a thin tail for any one scoreline and helps explain why the “Any Other Score” bucket usually absorbs most of the probability mass.[1][2]

Recent tournament context points to a match with meaningful incentive on both sides: FIFA described the fixture as “all or nothing” after opening-day defeats, which usually keeps line-ups close to first choice and makes late tactical substitution patterns more relevant than open, end-to-end football.[6] For traders on-chain, the practical catalysts are the final whistle, any official schedule changes, and confirmation that the game is completed under regulation plus stoppage time, since the market remains open if postponed and only settles after the match is finished.[2] In crypto terms, the main linkage is mechanical rather than directional: USDC settlement and on-chain liquidity can move quickly around the deadline, while wider BTC/ETH risk conditions and exchange funding rates matter only insofar as they affect collateral appetite and hedging flows.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.