Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Team Spirit | 0% Enjoy |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Spirit, the 2021 The International champions, face Enjoy in a Best of 3 upper bracket quarterfinal at the Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 23 June. The crowd-implied probability sits at 100% YES for Team Spirit, reflecting their overwhelming dominance in recent form and historical pedigree. Betting markets show Team Spirit at 1.05 versus Enjoy at 6.96, underscoring the near-certainty of a Spirit victory[1][2].
Historically, Team Spirit has rarely lost matches in qualifiers, often sweeping opponents 2–0, as seen in their November 2025 matchup where they won 2:0 against a lower-ranked team[3]. Their TI 2021 grand final win, a 3–2 comeback against PSG.LGD, cemented their status as a top-tier force capable of closing out high-pressure series[4]. In contrast, Enjoy, ranked 39th globally, has struggled to secure wins against CIS-region elites, with no recorded H2H victories against Spirit[2][5]. Such disparities in world ranking and past performance typically frame 100% probabilities as rational rather than speculative.
Traders should monitor live score updates on Sofascore and Twitch streams for any unexpected delays or cancellations, which could trigger the 50–50 settlement clause[5]. While crypto macro factors like BTC/ETH funding rates or USDC whale flows do not directly influence this esports contract, exchange spot volatility may affect liquidity on the prediction platform. No major roster announcements or schedule changes have been reported as of 23 June, per recent tournament coverage[2]. The settlement window closes on 23 June 2026 at 20:40 UTC, leaving minimal time for post-match disputes.
Methodology
This page reads Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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