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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

How the on-chain market is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

10% YES 90% NO Volume: $634K Liquidity: $692K Closes: 27 May 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
10% 90% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
10% 90% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Ends in Daytime10% YES90% NO
Both Teams Beat Roshan50% YES50% NO
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10% YES90% NO
Any Player Ultra Kill10% YES90% NO
Any Player Rampage10% YES90% NO
Match Winner0% YES100% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: lgd gaming vs team liquid (bo1) - blast slam group stage stands at 10% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Liquid in the BLAST Slam Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 27 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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