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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - More Markets

"Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - More Markets" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 95% Both Teams Beat Roshan 90% Volume: $716K Liquidity: $287K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?95%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%

Market context

The Esports World Cup 2026 Group A stage features a best-of-three Dota 2 series between BetBoom Team and GamerLegion, scheduled for 11 July 2026 at 09:00 UTC. Strafe community voting heavily favours BetBoom, with 95.3% of users predicting a win for the Russian squad, while only 4.7% back GamerLegion [1]. This overwhelming consensus mirrors the 100% YES crowd-implied probability on the prediction market for “more markets” to be offered, reflecting the event’s confirmed status and high visibility.

Historically, when a match is confirmed for a major tournament like the Esports World Cup and community sentiment is near-universal, prediction markets for ancillary outcomes (such as “more markets”) settle at 100% with minimal variance. Comparable cases from previous Esports World Cup editions show that once a match is listed on official schedules and live-score platforms like Sofascore and Hawk Live, ancillary contracts rarely face resolution risk [2][9]. The absence of doubt in the underlying event’s occurrence drives the probability to certainty.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any schedule shifts or format changes, though the match is already listed on multiple live-score trackers with a fixed start time [2]. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 11 July, aligning with the post-match verification period used by DLTV and Gamers World [8]. No whale flows or crypto-funding-rate anomalies are material here, as the contract’s outcome depends solely on the event’s execution, not on BTC/ETH price movements or on-chain liquidity shifts.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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