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FC København vs. Lyngby BK - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "FC København vs. Lyngby BK - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $410K Liquidity: $387K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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FC København vs. Lyngby BK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC København O/U 0.5100%
FC København O/U 1.5100%
Lyngby BK O/U 0.5100%
Lyngby BK O/U 1.5100%
O/U 4.579%
FC København O/U 2.572%
FC København 1st Half O/U 0.563%
Lyngby BK 1st Half O/U 0.563%
Lyngby BK 1st Half O/U 1.563%
Lyngby BK O/U 2.562%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
1st Half O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Lyngby BK 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Lyngby BK 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 5.544%
FC København (-1.5)19%
FC København (-2.5)5%
Lyngby BK (-1.5)3%
Lyngby BK (-2.5)1%
FC København 1st Half O/U 1.51%

Market context

FC København’s league meeting with Lyngby BK is a plain Superliga fixture, and this “more markets” contract is really a basket on whether the ancillary outcomes around the game get resolved on-chain in the way the market expects. The crowd-implied **19% YES** suggests traders are assigning a low chance that the listed side markets, props or scheduling contingencies clear the settlement conditions before the window closes at 14:00 UTC.

Comparable FC København–Lyngby games have tended to be straightforward from a form perspective, with FCK generally carrying the stronger profile and the kind of result that can compress derivative prices on match-linked markets rather than create volatility. Recent highlight material from the prior meeting shows FC København winning **2–1** and moving top of the Superliga, which is the sort of outcome that often leaves “more markets” contracts hinging less on the headline result and more on whether bookmakers’ or exchange-style sub-markets were actually offered and settled as specified.[1]

For traders, the key catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: whether the match starts on time, whether any late team news or competition notices alter the menu of eligible markets, and whether the settlement source on the prediction platform recognises the relevant event and market IDs before the deadline. Because this is a USDC-settled crypto market, any broader BTC or ETH move matters mainly if it shifts platform liquidity, funding conditions or whale activity into the close, but the contract’s outcome still depends first on the underlying football event and the exact on-chain rules attached to the market.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page reads FC København vs. Lyngby BK - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
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