Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
KOLESIE and Lavked are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 1 June 2026 at 13:00 ET as part of CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Round 4. The current 0% implied probability for KOLESIE victory reflects either extreme confidence in Lavked's dominance or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful price discovery on this fixture. Settlement occurs in USDC at market close on 1 June at 23:00 UTC, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50 split.
Historical precedent in CCT Europe tournaments shows significant volatility in group stage matchups, particularly when tier-two rosters face off without established head-to-head records. Teams entering Series 3 often carry momentum (or lack thereof) from prior qualifiers, making early-stage fixtures sensitive to recent roster changes, stand-in availability, and map pool adjustments. The 0% reading suggests either KOLESIE carries documented roster instability or recent performance data has shifted market perception sharply toward Lavked.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding confirmed lineups through 31 May, as last-minute substitutions have historically altered match outcomes in regional qualifiers. Map veto sequences, typically published 24 hours pre-match, provide tactical insight into team preparation. Funding rates on related esports derivatives across major prediction exchanges may signal whether sophisticated traders are hedging exposure to broader CCT Series 3 outcomes. Any schedule shift beyond the seven-day window would trigger automatic 50-50 resolution regardless of match status.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe… on BTC Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on BTC Prediction →