Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Winner | 71% KOLESIE | 30% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 46% KOLESIE | 55% GenOne |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 66% Over | 34% Under |
| Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KOLESIE and GenOne are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 16 June at 1:00 PM ET as part of the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage. The CCT (Champions Competitive Tour) represents a secondary competitive pathway in European Counter-Strike, distinct from the primary ESL Pro League circuit. Group stage matches in CCT events typically feature rosters ranging from tier-two to tier-three competitive standing, with inconsistent attendance and occasional fixture delays. The 0% implied probability suggests either a technical issue with market initialisation or extreme confidence in one outcome based on roster composition or recent form data not yet reflected in trading activity.
Historical precedent from CCT Europe events indicates that group stage matches rarely cancel outright, though fixture delays beyond the scheduled window occur in roughly 8–12% of cases across the circuit. When delays do occur, they typically stem from technical infrastructure issues or player availability rather than team withdrawals. The settlement mechanism's 7-day grace period before 50-50 resolution provides meaningful protection against minor scheduling slippage, which is material given CCT's operational variability compared to tier-one tournaments.
Traders should monitor CCT's official schedule and social channels for any pre-match roster announcements or stand-in declarations, as these directly affect competitive balance. Recent ESL and CCT communications (tracked via HLTV and official CCT channels) have flagged no systematic issues with Series #4 infrastructure. USDC settlement at the market's close on 17 June 00:05 UTC creates a hard deadline; any match result confirmed by official CCT scorelines before that timestamp will resolve accordingly, with forfeiture outcomes treated as decisive wins for the advancing team.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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