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Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

"Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $67K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Grêmio Esports (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Grêmio Esports met Procyon Gaming in a best-of-three Counter-Strike group-stage match in BetBoom Storm, and the contest is already recorded as finished with Grêmio winning 2–1, which means a live market should settle to Grêmio rather than remain at the 0% crowd-implied yes price.[1][4][12] The event sat inside an active Brazilian/Latin American online group stage running through 11 August, so the relevant trade is not the competitive result itself but whether the contract has already absorbed that result on-chain and whether settlement has been triggered in the market’s USDC rails.[3][9]

The 0% reading is best read against the tournament’s broader schedule context rather than as a genuine zero-win expectation. Grêmio had already beaten paiN Academy earlier in the same event, while Procyon had mixed results including losses to Imperial and earlier group-stage play, which is the sort of profile that can still leave a market briefly mispriced if the update lags the broadcast result.[16][14] Comparable BetBoom Storm markets on crypto prediction venues have shown live pricing moving around reported scores and match completion, with Polymarket’s esports board showing active CS2 volume and liquidity around the same tournament family.[6][10][11]

For traders, the immediate catalyst is whether the official match result is recognised before the settlement window closes, because the contract rules also specify 50–50 treatment only for cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days without a winner.[2] In practice, the main dependencies are the organiser’s published match card, any postponement notice, and whether the market’s oracle ingests the completed BO3 rather than a partial or forfeited state.[3][16] Broader crypto conditions are secondary here, but USDC-denominated market depth can still be affected by BTC and ETH risk sentiment, especially when liquidity is thin and traders recycle capital across active esports markets.[10][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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