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Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B

On-chain snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $202K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-3.5) vs Honvéd (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-3.5) vs Honvéd (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-6.5) vs Honvéd (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-6.5) vs Honvéd (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: Entropy (-1.5) vs Honvéd (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-9.5) vs Honvéd (+9.5)0%

Market context

Entropy Gaming faces Honvéd Esports in a decisive Counter-Strike 2 match at the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier, Series 5 Group B, originally slated for 7:00 AM ET on 19 July. The contest is a best-of-three decider where the winner advances, with current crowd-implied probability at 0% for Entropy, suggesting the market views Honvéd as the dominant side.

Historical data from the same qualifier shows Entropy and Honvéd previously met on 15 July, where Honvéd secured a 2–1 victory, reinforcing their 60% win rate against Entropy’s 40% in this matchup [2][4]. Comparable decider matches in CCT qualifiers often see the team with higher recent form and head-to-head advantage prevail, aligning with the near-zero probability assigned to Entropy.

Traders should monitor official tournament updates for any match cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50–50 settlement per market rules [6]. Key catalysts include live match status on bo3.gg, where the match is currently marked as live with Entropy leading 2–1 in a separate recorded instance, though this may reflect a prior or different series [3]. Any forfeiture or disqualification post-gameplay start will resolve based on the official result declared by the organizer, not the initial odds [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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