Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Match Winner | 14% 1WIN | 87% Virtus.pro |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
Market context
1WIN are due to meet Virtus.pro in a best-of-three quarter-final at CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs, a format that leaves room for reversals but still rewards the stronger veto and the deeper map pool. The market’s 0% crowd-implied price suggests participants are treating Virtus.pro as the clear pre-match favourite, but that kind of extreme can reflect thin liquidity as much as consensus, especially when settlement is in USDC and the contract only needs a single completed series result to resolve cleanly.
For framing, comparable CCT and other tier-two CS2 playoff markets tend to reprice quickly once official line-ups and start times are confirmed, because even a short delay can change which side has the more favourable preparation window. Match listings today showed the fixture as scheduled for 20 June, with one source giving 11:00 UTC and another showing 04:00 local time, so traders should watch for any timing correction, server-side postponement, or walkover decision before the settlement window closes.[1][2] In practice, a no-contest, tie, or delay beyond seven days would push the market to 50-50 under the rules, so the binary result is less about long-run team strength than about whether the quarter-final is actually completed as scheduled.
From a broader crypto-macro angle, this kind of esports contract usually trades more on event risk than on BTC or ETH direction, though sudden moves in market-wide risk appetite can still affect on-chain liquidity and the ease with which USDC positions are entered or unwound. If the book looks mispriced relative to exchange signals or funding-rate stress in major crypto pairs, that is more likely to matter for short-term market flow than for the match outcome itself.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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