Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Trent Rockets Women and London Spirit Women are scheduled to meet in The Hundred, with the market resolving to the published final result on ESPNcricinfo. In practical terms, the contract is binary: a completed Rockets win, Spirit win, or an official tie-no-result outcome depending on the scorecard and competition ruling, with any on-field tiebreak treated as the winner for settlement. [1]
The current **0% YES** price is consistent with how this fixture has usually been read historically if the match has not yet been confirmed as settled in the cricket data feed, but comparable past meetings show Trent Rockets have had the stronger recent head-to-head profile. BBC Sport’s scorecard for a prior women’s Hundred meeting shows Trent Rockets beat London Spirit by **31 runs**, while video coverage from a later match also described a Rockets win over Spirit by **33 runs**. [2][3]
For traders, the main catalysts are the final team sheets, toss, and any weather or scheduling disruption that could affect whether the match is completed in full. Because settlement depends on the official result on ESPNcricinfo rather than exchange opinion, late changes in playing conditions, a washout, or a shortened match decided under competition rules can move the market sharply even without a dramatic shift in cricketing quality. On-chain, the main practical angle is that any exposure is ultimately a USDC-settled binary outcome, so price can stay pinned near zero until the result is formally published and the market infrastructure updates.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
This page reads The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- What are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Can I use Bitcoin directly?
- No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
- Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
- Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
- Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
- In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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