Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Florida vs. Army | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Army O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Bryson Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Godspower Nwawuihe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Samari Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zach Mundell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stratton Fuller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Rendina: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JeyQuan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Sullivan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lloyd Benson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mudia Reuben: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tobi Olawole: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Cale Hellums: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Arhmad Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brady Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chase Garnett: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Cameron Seldon: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Armani Winfield: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Alvon Isaac: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Army 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
South Florida vs. Army — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Army, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. This market w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $164K.
Methodology
This page reads South Florida vs. Army on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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