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Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo

On-chain snapshot for "Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Draw 100% Santos FC 0% Clube do Remo 0% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $439K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
Santos FC0%
Clube do Remo0%

Market context

Santos FC meet Clube do Remo in the Copa do Brasil, with the market currently priced at **0% YES**, which implies no visible support for a Remo win or qualification at present. The real-world backdrop is strongly tilted towards Santos on historical evidence: prior meetings have produced eight Santos wins and one draw across nine encounters, and the most recent cup meeting ended Remo 0-4 Santos in 2010, while the latest official head-to-head this year finished Santos 2-0 Remo at Vila Belmiro.[2][15][16]

For a prediction market settled in USDC, the main read-through is that the contract is behaving like a low-liquidity binary around an expected Santos edge rather than a live consensus on upside for Remo. Traders should watch team-sheet announcements, any late injury or rotation news, and the final competition scheduling, because Copa do Brasil ties can move quickly when starting XIs are confirmed and the away side is forced into a more conservative shape. Match listings already show the fixture as active on major scoreboards, which is the clearest near-term dependency for settlement timing.[18][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.

Methodology

This page reads Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
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