Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Internacional | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional and SC Corinthians Paulista are due to meet in the Copa do Brasil on Sunday, and a **100% YES** price implies the market is treating the fixture as effectively locked in rather than pricing match strength. That matters on btc-prediction.bet because settlement is in **USDC**, so the main risk is not sporting uncertainty but whether the real-world event occurs inside the stated window and matches the contract’s definition.
Historically, this is the sort of pairing that has often produced tight scorelines rather than a blow-out. FootyStats shows 26 head-to-head meetings with **14 draws**, while home fixtures for Internacional have also been draw-heavy, with the most common home result listed as **2-2** and the overall most common result as **1-1**.[4][10] A recent 2-2 draw between the sides in October 2024, plus a 1-0 Corinthians win in April 2026, reinforce that the matchup has recently swung within a narrow band rather than following a one-sided pattern.[3][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are the final match confirmation, any schedule shifts, and whether the tie is rescheduled into or out of the settlement window; those are the variables that matter more than team form for a binary event contract. If the market remains pinned near 100%, that usually reflects confidence that the fixture has already been formally set, but it still leaves room for late administrative changes or cancellation risk. Any broader crypto move in BTC or ETH would mainly affect liquidity and positioning elsewhere on the platform, not the underlying football outcome, though large market-wide volatility can still alter how aggressively users hold USDC-denominated exposure.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $107K.
Methodology
This page reads SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Can I use Bitcoin directly?
- No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
- How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
- Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
- Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
- In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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