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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

On-chain snapshot for "Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $270K Liquidity: $205K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 38.584%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 36.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 3.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 40.555%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-1.552%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 4.537%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 Winner33%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 Winner30%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini24%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-2.55%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: stan wawrinka vs matteo berrettini. This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrink…

Methodology

This page reads Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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