Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Alexander Bublik in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this m
Methodology
This page reads Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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