Uzbekistan vs. Colombia

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Uzbekistan and Colombia have already met in this World Cup group-stage fixture, with Colombia winning 3-1 after Uzbekistan scored its first-ever goal at a World Cup finals. That result matters for reading the market because a **0% YES** price should now be treated as a stale post-settlement artefact rather than an active forecast: the game has been played, the outcome is known, and FIFA’s match coverage places the kick-off on 17 June at 20:00 local time in Mexico City.[2][3][4]

For comparison, football prediction markets tend to reprice sharply once line-ups are confirmed and again at kick-off, but they do not usually sit at zero after the underlying event has resolved unless the contract has already moved into settlement processing. On a crypto-native venue, the practical watchpoint is whether the oracle or admin pathway has already posted the result and whether USDC balances are still locked pending final resolution; if so, price discovery is no longer about football probability but about settlement timing and any delay in payout finality.

For traders watching adjacent catalysts, the relevant inputs are any market notices about resolution, plus broader risk conditions in BTC and ETH if collateral demand or venue activity shifts into the settlement window. In live markets, spot swings and funding-rate spikes can affect order-book depth and whale behaviour, but here those factors matter only indirectly, through liquidity and capital rotation on the platform rather than the match itself.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Uzbekistan vs. Colombia on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.