Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score

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Market context

Sweden and Tunisia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed settling to "Any Other Score." Settlement occurs on-chain via USDC at 02:00 UTC on 15 June, approximately four hours after the final whistle.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between Nordic and North African sides show wide variance in outcomes. Sweden's three prior World Cup meetings with African nations (Cameroon 1994, South Africa 2010, South Korea 2018) produced scores of 2–2, 3–2, and 1–0 respectively. Tunisia's recent tournament record includes a 5–2 loss to France (2018) and a 0–1 defeat to Denmark (2018), though the side has shown competitive resilience in qualifying rounds. The 0% crowd probability reflects the combinatorial difficulty of predicting exact scores—even heavily favoured outcomes rarely exceed 15–20% implied probability in granular score markets. Comparable exact-score markets on btc-prediction.bet typically see liquidity concentrate on mid-range outcomes (1–1, 2–1, 1–0) rather than extreme scorelines.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates through early June, particularly Sweden's forward depth and Tunisia's defensive stability. Recent Confederation of African Football and Union of European Football Associations fixture confirmations (typically finalised 90 days pre-tournament) will confirm no schedule shifts. Crypto funding rates and spot BTC/ETH volatility in the week before settlement may influence retail participation, though the underlying match outcome remains independent of macro conditions.

Methodology

This page reads Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.