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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score

How the on-chain market is pricing "Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco 15% Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco 12% Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco 10% Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco 10% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
15% 85% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
15% 85% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco15%
Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco12%
Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco10%
Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco10%
Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco9%
Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco8%
Any Other Score8%
Netherlands 1 - 2 Morocco7%
Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco6%
Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco5%
Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco4%
Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco4%
Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco3%
Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco2%
Netherlands 2 - 3 Morocco2%
Netherlands 0 - 3 Morocco1%
Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco1%

Market context

The Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 15% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Morocco match o…

Methodology

This page reads Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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