Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
41% | 59% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
41% | 59% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 41% Over | 60% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 20% Over | 81% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 11% Over | 90% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 66% Over | 35% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 39% Over | 62% Under |
Market context
Jordan and Algeria face off in a crucial Group J FIFA World Cup match at Levi’s Stadium, with the game kicking off at 11:00 PM ET on 22 June. The crowd-implied probability of 40% YES for “Total Corners” suggests traders expect a moderate number of corner kicks, though historical precedents in similar World Cup fixtures between defensively structured teams often yield higher corner volumes due to sustained attacking pressure and limited goal-scoring efficiency.
Comparable cases from recent World Cup Group stages show that when one side dominates possession—Algeria averaged 52.23% in their opener and boast 92.45% pass accuracy—while the other struggles to convert chances (Jordan’s xG per shot was just 0.05, the lowest in the tournament), corner counts frequently rise as attackers generate volume without breaking the defence [2][4]. Jordan’s defence has failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive matches, conceding 13 goals, which may force Algeria to press harder and create more corner opportunities [2].
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding Algeria’s attacking trio—Mahrez, Gouiri, and Chaibi/Maza—as any injury or lineup change could alter corner dynamics [2]. Additionally, on-chain mechanics tied to USDC settlement and BTC/ETH macro movements may influence liquidity and whale flows into the contract, with funding rates on crypto exchanges serving as a proxy for sentiment shifts [1]. For real-time updates, refer to Sky Sports’ live commentary and match report as the game unfolds [3].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $497K.
Methodology
Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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