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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

On-chain snapshot for "Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots 100% Jonathan David: 1+ shots 99% Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots 99% Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots 90% Volume: $262K Liquidity: $574K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots100%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots99%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots99%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots90%
Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves76%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots75%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots68%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target60%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots59%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots53%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots52%
Promise David: 3+ shots52%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots51%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots51%
Promise David: 1+ shots51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 5+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 4+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 5+ shots50%
Promise David: 2+ shots50%
Promise David: 4+ shots50%
Promise David: 5+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 1+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 2+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target50%
Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists49%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists49%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals34%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists27%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists26%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals18%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals16%
Promise David: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals13%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists13%
Jonathan David: 2+ assists13%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals12%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals12%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals12%
Promise David: 1+ goals12%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists12%
Cyle Larin: 2+ assists12%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists12%
Cyle Larin: 1+ assists11%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals10%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals10%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals9%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals9%
Jonathan David: 1+ assists9%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals8%
Promise David: 3+ goals8%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals8%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists8%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals7%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists7%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals3%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals2%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals2%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals2%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots2%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots1%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots1%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, canada vs. morocco - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reads Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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