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Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets

"Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

O/U 0.5 91% Morocco O/U 0.5 79% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 69% Volume: $337K Liquidity: $3.2M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
Morocco O/U 0.579%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.569%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Canada O/U 0.559%
Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.558%
Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Both Teams to Score47%
Morocco O/U 1.544%
O/U 2.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.539%
Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
Canada 1st Half O/U 0.532%
Team to Advance30%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?28%
Morocco (-1.5)25%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half23%
O/U 3.522%
Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.522%
Canada O/U 1.521%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?20%
Morocco O/U 2.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
2nd Half O/U 2.516%
Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Morocco (-2.5)10%
O/U 4.59%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
Canada (-1.5)6%
Canada 1st Half O/U 1.56%
Canada O/U 2.55%
Morocco (-3.5)3%
O/U 5.53%
Canada (-2.5)1%
Morocco (-4.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
Canada (-3.5)0%
Canada (-4.5)0%
Canada (-5.5)0%
Morocco (-5.5)0%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 91% chance of canada vs. morocco - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reads Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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