Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in an international friendly on 6 June 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome resolving to "Any Other Score." The 100% implied probability reflects the binary nature of exact-score markets on smaller fixtures: traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty across dozens of possible scorelines rather than confidence in a specific result.

Historical exact-score markets on lower-tier international friendlies show clustering around common outcomes (1–1, 1–0, 2–1) rather than even distribution across all possibilities. Palestine's FIFA ranking sits around 105th, whilst Kenya ranks approximately 110th. Both sides have limited recent competitive history; Palestine's fixture schedule remains constrained by geopolitical factors affecting travel and preparation, whilst Kenya's participation in African Cup of Nations qualifiers will shape squad availability and form heading into June. The absence of major tournament pressure on either side typically produces tighter, lower-scoring contests than competitive qualifiers.

Traders should monitor official FIFA fixture confirmations and any squad announcements from the Palestine Football Association and Kenya Football Federation in the weeks prior. Venue confirmation matters—matches scheduled for neutral grounds often differ tactically from home fixtures. On-chain settlement via USDC will execute against official FIFA records; any postponement keeps the market open until completion rather than resolving early, creating extended duration risk for positions held across the settlement window.

Methodology

This page reads Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.