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Croatia vs. Belgium - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Croatia vs. Belgium - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

16% YES 84% NO Volume: $195K Liquidity: $680K Closes: 2 Jun 2026
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Croatia vs. Belgium - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Croatia (-1.5)16% YES84% NO
Belgium (-1.5)16% YES84% NO
Croatia (-2.5)5% YES95% NO
Belgium (-2.5)6% YES95% NO
O/U 0.594% YES7% NO
O/U 1.577% YES24% NO

Market context

Croatia vs. Belgium - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 16%. More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 2 at 12:00 PM ET.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 16% probability for "Croatia vs. Belgium - More Markets".

YES 16% NO 84%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $195K.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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