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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - More Markets

"Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - More Markets" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $688K Liquidity: $450K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?45%
Ends in Daytime10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: vici gaming vs og - more markets. More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Vici Gaming and OG, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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