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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

On-chain snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Winner 48% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)43%
Map 2 Winner42%
Match Winner41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)40%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)35%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)34%

Market context

Market consensus: 51% chance of counter-strike: liquid vs g2 (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Liquid and G2 in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 25 at 8:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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