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Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

How the on-chain market is pricing "Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $339K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5)50%
Match Winner19%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: RF (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: pain academy vs red feet (bo3) - cct south america series 3 group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between paiN Academy and Red Feet in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 5 at 3:00PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
and

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