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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

On-chain snapshot for "Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $235K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-6.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MAG (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-9.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between METANOIA WOLVES and MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 3:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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