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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the on-chain market is pricing "Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5) 50% Volume: $331K Liquidity: $29K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Match Winner44%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: faze vs tyloo (bo1) - xse pro league group stage stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between FaZe and TYLOO in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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