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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $580K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.574%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.552%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)25%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: bestia vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - res showdown south america playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between BESTIA and Fluxo W7M in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00PM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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