ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland and Ireland will meet in a Women's T20 World Cup group-stage fixture on 13 June 2026. The match forms part of the tournament's preliminary round, where both teams compete for progression. The current 100% YES probability reflects settlement mechanics rather than certainty of outcome; the market resolves once ESPN Cricinfo publishes the official result, including any Super Over or on-field tiebreak ruling.

Historical context shows women's T20 internationals between these sides have been competitive. Ireland has developed rapidly as a T20 force over the past five years, whilst Scotland has shown inconsistency at major tournaments. In qualifying rounds and warm-up fixtures preceding World Cups, Ireland has typically held a slight edge in head-to-head records, though Scotland has secured notable upsets. The 100% probability reflects the binary nature of cricket outcomes—one team will win, tie resolutions are governed by playing conditions, and forfeits are treated as ordinary wins under the settlement rules. No draw mechanism exists in T20 cricket.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and injury status in the weeks preceding the fixture. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground will influence pitch behaviour and team selection strategies; weather forecasts closer to 13 June may affect match timing or format. Recent ICC communications on tournament scheduling and any fixture rescheduling announcements will be material. The settlement window closes 20 June 2026, allowing five days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo to finalise and publish official results, accounting for any administrative delays or protest procedures under ICC regulations.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.