Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
38% | 62% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
38% | 62% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Lucknow Super Giants will face Punjab Kings on 23 May 2026 in the Indian Premier League, a Twenty20 domestic competition in India. The match outcome will be determined by the official result published on ESPNcricinfo, with any on-field tiebreak or Super Over treated as a decisive result for settlement purposes. The current crowd-implied probability of 33% for a Lucknow victory reflects moderate confidence in Punjab's chances, though both franchises have shown variable form across recent seasons.
Lucknow Super Giants, established in 2022, have built a squad emphasising all-round depth and pace bowling, whilst Punjab Kings have historically struggled with consistency despite periodic star-studded lineups. Head-to-head records between the two sides show narrow margins in most encounters, with venue conditions and toss outcomes exerting material influence on Twenty20 outcomes. The 33% probability suggests the market is pricing Lucknow as slight underdogs, a positioning worth examining against squad composition, recent injury reports, and form trajectories leading into late May.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and squad rotation in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly given the IPL's compressed schedule and overlapping international commitments. Weather forecasts for the match venue will become relevant in the final week; rain-affected matches can alter expected run-rates and shift momentum unpredictably. Recent ESPNcricinfo coverage of both franchises' mid-season performance will provide context on batting order changes, bowling combinations, and any tactical adjustments that might influence match dynamics. Settlement occurs 30 May 2026, allowing two business days for official result confirmation.
Methodology
This page reads Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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