Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| CD Limache (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Limache (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
CD Limache and CD Coquimbo Unido are scheduled to meet in Chile's Primera División on 31 May at 12:30 PM ET. The fixture forms part of the domestic league calendar and will settle via USDC on the platform at 16:30 UTC that day. The 0% crowd probability suggests either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that additional match-specific markets will not materialise before the settlement window closes.
Historical precedent across Latin American football prediction markets shows that secondary or "more markets" contracts—those contingent on exchange operators listing supplementary betting options—often fail to trigger when primary fixtures attract limited on-chain liquidity. Chilean Primera matches typically generate modest volume relative to European leagues, and Limache's lower profile within the division compounds this pattern. Similar conditional markets on regional South American derbies have settled NO when broadcasters or sportsbooks did not expand their offering beyond standard match-outcome bets.
Traders monitoring this contract should track whether major Chilean sportsbooks or international exchanges announce expanded betting slates for the fixture in the week preceding 31 May. Fixture postponements, which remain common in the Chilean league due to weather or administrative factors, could delay or cancel the match entirely, rendering the secondary-markets question moot. Real-time updates from the Asociación Nacional de Fútbol Profesional (ANFP) and exchange announcements via CoinGecko or Messari feeds will signal any material changes to the scheduled event or betting infrastructure.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $176K.
Methodology
This page reads CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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