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Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets

How the on-chain market is pricing "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 0.5100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5100%
Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Shanghai Haigang FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)0%
Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)0%
Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)0%
Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.50%
Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.50%
Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.50%
Qingdao Xihaian FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qingdao Xihaian FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Shanghai Haigang FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to qingdao xihaian fc vs. shanghai haigang fc - more markets. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 4 at 7:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reads Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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