Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 92% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 26.5 | 87% |
| O/U 28.5 | 82% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma | 76% |
| O/U 32.5 | 74% |
| Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 15.5 | 71% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Texas O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Oklahoma O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| O/U 40.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Oklahoma O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 42% |
| Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 44.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -12.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| Oklahoma O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| O/U 46.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 32% |
| Spread -15.5 | 30% |
| O/U 48.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| O/U 50.5 | 25% |
| Spread -18.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 54.5 | 17% |
| Spread -23.5 | 15% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| Spread -24.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 13% |
| O/U 58.5 | 12% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -27.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| Spread -26.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| Spread -30.5 | 5% |
Market context
The Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Oklahom…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $524K.
Methodology
This page reads Texas vs. Oklahoma on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- Can I use Bitcoin directly?
- No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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