Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| Spread -0.5 | 77% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| O/U 39.5 | 68% |
| Florida International O/U 23.5 | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Spread -5.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 43.5 | 58% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Florida International O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| O/U 47.5 | 47% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| O/U 51.5 | 39% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 35% |
| Spread -17.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 32% |
| O/U 53.5 | 31% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 22% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 21% |
| Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| O/U 61.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| O/U 65.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| O/U 69.5 | 8% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| O/U 73.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
Market context
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International — current market-implied probability: 78%. In the upcoming college football game between Middle Tennessee and Florida International, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tennessee win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.
Methodology
This page reads Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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