Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
81% | 19% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
81% | 19% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| Appalachian State O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 55% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| O/U 49.5 | 47% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 51.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| O/U 53.5 | 37% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 55.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 32.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 35.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 61.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 13% |
| O/U 67.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| O/U 71.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 81% chance of appalachian state vs. coastal carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appa…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
- USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
- What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
- Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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