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Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

How the on-chain market is pricing "Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner 60% Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic 57% Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner 55% Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 22.5 55% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $611K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner60%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic57%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner55%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 22.555%
Completed Match50%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 21.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 23.548%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-1.546%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.539%

Market context

The Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction market currently prices this outcome at 60% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arth…

Methodology

This page reads Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Related Topics

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