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US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris

On-chain snapshot for "US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Game Spread +/-3.5 100% Volume: $87K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Game Spread +/-3.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Match O/U 21.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Match O/U 22.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Match O/U 23.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: gonzalo bueno vs billy harris. This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Bueno and Billy Harris in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Go…

Methodology

This page reads US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Related Topics

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