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Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

How the on-chain market is pricing "Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 100% Completed Match 100% Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 2 Winner 100% Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $297K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong100%
Completed Match100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 2 Winner100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 1 Winner100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Match O/U 21.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Match O/U 22.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pozoblanco: dan added vs mitsuki wei kang leong stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Added and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong in the Pozoblanco, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reads Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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