Politics prediction market · Vol. $630K
| April 30 | 81% YES | 19% NO |
| April 28 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 29 | 77% YES | 24% NO |
| May 15 | 93% YES | 8% NO |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into ph
The Polymarket market "James Comey arrested by...?" is currently trading at 81% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 81%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 15 May 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly