Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast’s latest upload is being judged on how many views it has after 144 hours, with the final bucket set by the channel’s own counter rather than an external estimate. Because the market settles in USDC, price moves reflect traders’ views on the exact bracket at expiry, while the current 0% YES implies the live view count is already being treated as outside the listed range for the target outcome. With no early resolution, the last few hours of YouTube view growth remain decisive, especially if the counter is still climbing at a steady long-tail pace rather than plateauing.
The closest comparable signals point to very large openings but also to some dispersion at the top end. Polymarket’s earlier MrBeast view markets have shown strong conviction around specific million-view bands, and Lines currently has a separate day-one market for a MrBeast upload around the 30–35 million bracket. Social Blade and Viewstats are the usual reference points for tracking channel velocity, but they are not the settlement source. Historically, MrBeast uploads can add a meaningful share of their total views after the first 24 hours, so a 144-hour window can still move a video several million views even after the initial spike fades.
Traders will mainly watch the upload schedule, thumbnail/title changes, and any external promotion from MrBeast’s channels, because those are the usual catalysts for a second push in recommended traffic. Broader crypto conditions are only relevant at the margin, through liquidity and risk appetite on Polymarket: BTC and ETH moves, funding rates, and whale flows can affect how aggressively traders size positions, but they do not alter the YouTube outcome itself. The key dependency is simple: whether the video keeps compounding views through the end of the 144-hour settlement window.
Methodology
This page reads # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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