# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s latest upload will be judged on its view count after the first 96 hours, with settlement tied to the public counter on his channel rather than any third-party estimate. The market is already priced to the floor at 0% YES, which means traders are effectively saying the named outcome bracket is no longer plausible at the current read. For a contract built on a single creator’s early performance, that sort of extreme pricing usually reflects an accumulated view trajectory rather than one isolated day, because the 96-hour window captures both launch momentum and the slower tail that follows.

Comparable MrBeast view markets tend to track tightly around the channel’s recent four-day runs, where outcomes have clustered in the tens of millions and often move in coarse bands as the public counter updates. Search results show other recent framing around 56–57 million, 66–67 million and higher ranges, underscoring how quickly sentiment can re-anchor when the upload lands either above or below expectation. Viewstats, Social Blade and YouTube’s own counter are the practical references traders watch, since the market resolves strictly on the channel’s posted view total at the end of the window.

The main catalysts are the upload’s release timing, any follow-up promotion from MrBeast’s social accounts, and whether YouTube recommends the video into a broader audience over the first two days. Traders also tend to watch any schedule overlap with major platform or creator-news events, because those can alter attention flows and ad inventory across YouTube. In a crypto context, this is a straightforward USDC-settled event with no direct BTC or ETH dependency, though broader risk appetite can still influence how aggressively users size positions across prediction markets.

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Methodology

This page reads # of views of MrBeast video day 4? on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.